Selected work / Credit Analytics

Leveraged Finance Portfolio Monitor

A prototype demonstrating leverage ratios, portfolio trends, stress scenarios and early warning indicators.

Illustrative portfolio trend chart

01 / The question

Product problem

How might a credit team identify changes in leverage and debt-service capacity before they become portfolio-wide concerns?

02 / The response

Proposed solution

Bring exposure, leverage, watchlist share and debt service coverage into a single scenario-based view. The working Credit Risk Command Centre demonstrates this interaction with synthetic inputs.

Methodology

  • Define the decisions and KPI conventions before designing the interface.
  • Use a fixed synthetic exposure of $2.40bn and two explicitly illustrative scenarios.
  • Compare changes in leverage, watchlist share and DSCR without implying a predictive credit model.

Intended user outcomes

  • Intended outcome: a shared view of portfolio deterioration for review discussions.
  • Intended outcome: faster navigation from high-level metrics to questions requiring investigation. These benefits have not been measured in production.

Lessons from the concept

  • Scenario assumptions need to sit alongside the metrics.
  • A dashboard should prompt a credit conversation, not replace professional judgement.

Explore the working prototype

Open Credit Risk Command Centre